Free tool

Minimum detectable effect, for the n you can actually enroll

Sample-size calculators ask what n you need for an assumed effect. Recruitment-constrained research usually runs the other way: you know roughly how many patients you can enroll. This tool inverts the calculation — given your feasible n, the smallest true difference your study could reliably detect — so you can ask the honest question: is that difference still clinically meaningful?

§01 The sensitivity table

Sensitivity tableruns in your browser — nothing is uploaded

Per group, not total: a two-arm study of 240 patients is n = 120 per group.

From a pilot or the literature. Leave blank to read the answer in SD units instead.

With 120 per group (240 analyzed, 1:1), the smallest true difference this study can reliably detect at 80% power is 0.36 SD (α = 0.05, two-sided). Is that smaller than the smallest difference that would change practice? If not, the study cannot answer the question at this size.

n per grouptotal analyzeddetectable at 80% powerdetectable at 90% power
601200.51 SD0.59 SD
901800.42 SD0.48 SD
120 — your n2400.36 SD0.42 SD
1803600.30 SD0.34 SD
2404800.26 SD0.30 SD
3607200.21 SD0.24 SD

Assumes a two-group comparison of means with equal allocation (normal approximation) — the inverse of the standard two-sample formula: Δmin = (z1−α/2 + z1−β) · σ · √(2 / n). Smaller detectable difference = more sensitive study.

What kind of study is this? (optional)

§02 How to use it honestly

Anchor on the minimal clinically important difference — the smallest effect that would change practice — and check whether your feasible n can detect it. Working backwards from a convenient n to whatever effect it can detect, and then calling that effect the target, is effect-size fishing; with patients enrolled in a study that cannot answer its question, it is an ethics problem, not just a statistical one. If the detectable effect at your feasible n is larger than the difference that matters, the honest options are a larger or multi-site study, a more sensitive endpoint, or a redesigned question — not a smaller target.

The calculation is the inverse of the standard two-sample means formula — Δmin = (z1−α/2 + z1−β) · σ · √(2 / n), two-sided (a one-sided test uses z1−α) — assuming a two-group comparison with equal allocation. Binary outcomes, unequal allocation, clustering, expected dropout, and survival endpoints change the arithmetic — work them through with your biostatistician. If you want the whole design checked by a person, tell us below →.

And if you are here because a reviewer asked for the power of a study you already ran: observed power is the wrong answer — post-hoc power is meaningless explains why, and what to report instead.

§03 Questions

What is a minimum detectable effect?

The smallest true difference between groups that your study would have a specified chance (the power, usually 80% or 90%) of declaring statistically significant. If the difference that would actually change practice is smaller than your minimum detectable effect, the study as sized cannot answer the question — it is underpowered for the effect that matters.

Why does the calculator ask for patients per group, not in total?

Because the formula works per group, and conflating the two is a classic planning error. A two-arm study that can enroll 240 patients in total has n = 120 per group under 1:1 allocation. The table shows both numbers so the distinction stays visible.

What if I don't know the standard deviation of my outcome?

Leave it blank and read the answer in standard-deviation units (a standardized difference — 0.2 SD is conventionally small, 0.5 SD moderate, 0.8 SD large). When you do supply an SD from a pilot or the literature, treat pilot SDs as optimistic: they are estimated from small samples, so consider a conservative (larger) value.

Can I use this to compute the power of a study I already ran?

No — and that is deliberate. "Observed power" computed from your results adds no information beyond the p-value and is widely considered a statistical error. Power and detectable-effect calculations are planning tools: use them before enrollment, and anchor the effect on the minimal clinically important difference, not on whatever effect makes your feasible n look adequate.

§04 Want this reviewed by a person?

This calculator answers one planning question. If you want a statistician to check the whole design — the test choice, the variables and data to collect, whether the effect you’re powered to detect is the one that actually matters — tell us, and we will let you know if we build it.

Want a statistician-grade read of your study design before you collect data? We're gauging demand for a reviewed design assessment. Leave your email and we'll tell you if we build it.

A planning scaffold. The formula is deterministic and shown so you can verify it, but a calculator cannot know your study — the outcome distribution, the design effects, the attrition. Have a qualified biostatistician review any sample-size justification before you enroll patients or submit it to an IRB.